BERSIH 2.0 : calculating how many really showed up

BERSIH 2.0, i know MMP rarely post anything about politics, but i am interested only in one issue about this rally. The numbers of protesters who show up.

PKR estimates about one million will show up while i read in one of my friend FB page, he estimates the numbers that attend the rally 'could be easily 2 million'. Well i beg to differ.

Anyway while it is easy to say.... it is actually quite hard to calculate the actual numbers of people attending any rallies.

“shedology,” is the art of examining overhead photos to calculate crowd densities or other related stuff... aa such as estimating how many tanks could be hidden underneath a shed? .. hence shedology haha.

The CIA use this method to calculate the number of missiles the Soviet had. Now we use this method to estimates the approximate number of people who attend BERSIH 2.0.

please note that i use a low resolution photo of the rally. Bite me. The drawing bellow are tha CAD drawing of Kuala Lumpur.

As you guys know there are two big group of BERSIH protesters in Kuala Lumpur on that 9th July 2011. Both were separated by urban jungle and roads, 1.9 km from each others. This protest happen at about the same time although swift action by the police, these two group never had chance to merge.

Please notes that this is the actual scaled size of the rally. You will understand the color differences later.

SITE 1 KLCC

This is at front of the KLCC and Public Bank. Zone A, as you can see is where the density is thickest, but don't be fooled. The people there are actually sitting. In Zone B the participant just walking around in loose formation.

SITE 2 PUDURAYA

At site two the number of BERSIH supporter are way bigger and as we can see here, i zoned them up base on densities too.

 

Note the density in Zone A

Note that in Zone B everyone were standing shoulder to shoulder.

Yeah Zone C looks quite dense but its not, if you study the reflection of lights on the road you can summarise  that they are just walking around like a bunch of drunks. (its a figure of speach)

THE CALCULATION

the Population Equivalent are the approximate floor area a person or group use. This is the base of my calculations. Feel free to retort, i m not sure its right either, but what the heck.

So in the end this is the number that i can think off 28003. Please bear in mind that this is only an estimation.

Thankyou for reading and please share this with the universe.

-=ggk=-

I received a surprise from Nuffnang and TGV!

Well its my birthday 110711 and nuffnang sent me a birthday wish! Thanks i really do appreciate it. To top it off TGV Cinema gave me 4 movie ticket! one million thanks!

 

in reality there are no birthday cake.

nuffnang sent me a birthday wish!

TGV i LIKE U... especially if you are pretty and hot...