PKR estimates about one million will show up while i read in one of my friend FB page, he estimates the numbers that attend the rally 'could be easily 2 million'. Well i beg to differ.
Anyway while it is easy to say.... it is actually quite hard to calculate the actual numbers of people attending any rallies.
“shedology,” is the art of examining overhead photos to calculate crowd densities or other related stuff... aa such as estimating how many tanks could be hidden underneath a shed? .. hence shedology haha.
The CIA use this method to calculate the number of missiles the Soviet had. Now we use this method to estimates the approximate number of people who attend BERSIH 2.0.
please note that i use a low resolution photo of the rally. Bite me. The drawing bellow are tha CAD drawing of Kuala Lumpur.
As you guys know there are two big group of BERSIH protesters in Kuala Lumpur on that 9th July 2011. Both were separated by urban jungle and roads, 1.9 km from each others. This protest happen at about the same time although swift action by the police, these two group never had chance to merge.
Please notes that this is the actual scaled size of the rally. You will understand the color differences later.
SITE 1 KLCC
This is at front of the KLCC and Public Bank. Zone A, as you can see is where the density is thickest, but don't be fooled. The people there are actually sitting. In Zone B the participant just walking around in loose formation.
SITE 2 PUDURAYA
At site two the number of BERSIH supporter are way bigger and as we can see here, i zoned them up base on densities too.
Note the density in Zone A
Note that in Zone B everyone were standing shoulder to shoulder.
Yeah Zone C looks quite dense but its not, if you study the reflection of lights on the road you can summarise that they are just walking around like a bunch of drunks. (its a figure of speach)
THE CALCULATION
the Population Equivalent are the approximate floor area a person or group use. This is the base of my calculations. Feel free to retort, i m not sure its right either, but what the heck.
Thankyou for reading and please share this with the universe.
-=ggk=-
thanks to u.. i learn a new thing today.. bravo
ReplyDeleteawsome!! u can be math profesor, thumb up
ReplyDeleteonly an estimates haha
ReplyDeleteinteresting. well, most blogs i visited claimed over 20thousand walked on that day....so your estimation is highly plausible than what the mainstream media and the police estimated. obviously they lost count at 6000, realized the people's wave coming on, and just gave up...=p
ReplyDeleteinitially i calculate less than 18 thousand .. before i realises theres a second smaller group of BERSIH suporters at KLCC area.
ReplyDeleteanyway you can also use a picture comparison method with another documented crowd picture. Such as the Haj gathering. Or Concert.
terbaik analisis..
ReplyDelete